Race 4B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ambrose Gosling 23.5% 26.2% 20.6% 12.4% 9.6% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 9.0% 10.4% 18.8% 18.8% 15.7% 13.5% 8.5% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Robert Keller 2.5% 3.9% 6.5% 8.1% 10.9% 12.4% 19.9% 23.2% 11.4% 1.2%
Thomas Barrows 45.9% 31.7% 13.9% 6.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Grabe 3.3% 4.5% 6.7% 9.6% 10.0% 13.4% 19.1% 21.6% 10.6% 1.2%
Madeleine Harvey 5.7% 6.2% 8.5% 12.5% 15.8% 16.6% 16.0% 13.6% 4.8% 0.3%
Leah Hughes 5.4% 10.9% 13.5% 16.7% 19.7% 14.6% 10.4% 6.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Nate Olsen 0.3% 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 2.2% 4.3% 5.4% 12.2% 51.5% 19.2%
Sean Andrew 4.2% 5.5% 9.8% 12.6% 14.2% 18.5% 16.5% 13.7% 4.6% 0.4%
Gabriel Elder 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 14.8% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.