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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+5.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.96vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.96+4.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+4.01vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+5.27vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.02+0.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+2.30vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.07vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-1.74vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-3.98vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-2.86vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-3.20vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.55-8.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.55-2.44vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-6.36vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Stanford University3.3021.9%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University1.974.9%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.4%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University1.964.5%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.104.3%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College1.512.8%1st Place
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13.07George Washington University0.931.8%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.994.7%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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10.14College of Charleston1.813.7%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.103.5%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.5510.8%1st Place
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13.56Tufts University0.551.6%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida1.603.2%1st Place
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8.19University of Pennsylvania1.777.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.9% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Young | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 26.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.