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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+8.66vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.27vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.86vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.20vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+4.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+3.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.84vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.73-2.05vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.12+0.16vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-5.60vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.60+0.51vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.19+1.14vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.46-0.34vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.03-0.44vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-8.59vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.82-9.06vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.9%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University1.813.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania2.426.9%1st Place
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5.86Cornell University2.3810.8%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Maritime College1.884.9%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University1.943.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy2.6010.2%1st Place
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6.95Webb Institute1.738.4%1st Place
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10.16Drexel University1.123.5%1st Place
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5.4Georgetown University2.7513.0%1st Place
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12.51Christopher Newport University0.601.8%1st Place
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14.14Washington College0.191.5%1st Place
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13.66Princeton University0.461.4%1st Place
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14.56University of Virginia-0.030.9%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.4%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University1.826.3%1st Place
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11.88Hampton University1.472.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 29.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.