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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+3.62vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.06vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97-0.51vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.75vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86-0.56vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.97-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.49Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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3.36Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.25University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.44Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.65McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Rodes | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 4.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 21.6% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 32.4% | 26.3% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.4% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lund | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 12.9% |
| Katherine Weaver | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 16.7% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.