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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.68vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.97-1.44vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.97+0.60vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-2.71vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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2.56Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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5.6McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
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3.29Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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5.47Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 23.9% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 5.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 30.0% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Weaver | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 26.7% | 14.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.3% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.