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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+1.96vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+0.53vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.31vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.97-0.41vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.53Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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3.33Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.59McGill University-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.49Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 31.2% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.1% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lund | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 14.7% | 4.4% |
| Katherine Weaver | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 25.0% | 15.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 13.9% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.