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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+2.32vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.07vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18+2.16vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86-0.59vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.97-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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3.07Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.49Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.41Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.64McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 16.2% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 21.1% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 33.0% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lund | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 16.8% | 64.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 24.9% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Weaver | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 27.3% | 15.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.