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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.13+3.19vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+1.36vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.71vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62-1.98vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.97-0.42vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.36Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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2.52Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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4.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.02Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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5.58McGill University-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.47Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Walter Chiles | 17.0% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Ted Lutton | 31.7% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 5.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 22.5% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Weaver | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 23.4% | 15.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 25.2% | 13.7% |
| Andrew Graham | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 19.4% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.