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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+3.65vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.86+3.50vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43+0.30vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62-0.99vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97-2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.68vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.97-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.5Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.3Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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3.01Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.51Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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7.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.57McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Rodes | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 4.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 26.1% | 12.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.1% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 21.9% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 31.8% | 25.0% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 63.6% |
| Sean Lund | 11.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Weaver | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 25.3% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.