← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.19+1.50vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University-0.20+0.50vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-1.37+1.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.59vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-2.28-0.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.44-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
-
2.5Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
-
4.12Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
-
3.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
-
3.41University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.34McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
-
6.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 32.5% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 29.3% | 27.6% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 16.6% | 5.0% |
| Cole Perra | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 22.4% | 13.3% | 2.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 13.8% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Harry Boutemy | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 41.5% | 20.4% |
| Emily King | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.