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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20-0.50vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.37+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.19vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.28-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.44-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
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3.35University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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2.5Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.35McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 30.2% | 28.4% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.9% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 31.2% | 23.9% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| William Procter | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 4.3% |
| Cole Perra | 10.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Harry Boutemy | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 39.0% | 21.5% |
| Emily King | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 16.8% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.