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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+1.46vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.37+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.35vs Predicted
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4McGill University-2.28+1.36vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20-2.45vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.44-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
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4.11Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.35University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.36McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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2.55Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 31.4% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 4.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.5% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Harry Boutemy | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 41.2% | 19.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 29.2% | 26.1% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Cole Perra | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily King | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.