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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University-0.20+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.88vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.19vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.37-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.73vs Predicted
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7McGill University-2.28-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.79Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
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3.81University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.79McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 27.9% | 23.0% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 7.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 26.1% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 6.4% |
| William Procter | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 17.6% |
| Cole Perra | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 11.5% |
| Harry Boutemy | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.