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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+2.85vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.20+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+1.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.20vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.28-0.09vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.37-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.78Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.85Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
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3.8University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.91McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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4.57Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian McCaffrey | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 8.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 26.6% | 23.5% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Cole Perra | 10.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 10.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 25.2% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 55.5% |
| William Procter | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.