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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University-0.20+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.92vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.37+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.27vs Predicted
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5McGill University-2.28+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.82-2.22vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Salve Regina University-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.64Middlebury College-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.92McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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3.78University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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2.67Bates College-0.190.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 27.2% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 7.4% |
| William Procter | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 16.9% |
| Cole Perra | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 10.1% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 55.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 13.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 6.9% |
| Cameron Frary | 29.0% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.