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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+4.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+4.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+5.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05-0.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+2.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.56+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.64-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.13+0.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.81-1.14vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.62-4.86vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-4.98vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.11-1.99vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.95vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.82-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.69Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.14Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.05University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.24Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 22.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Matias Martin | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 14.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 24.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.