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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.64+5.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26+8.19vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.56+1.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+3.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05-5.27vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.14-3.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.50-2.41vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.37-3.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.11+0.16vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.62-5.80vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.81-4.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.82-0.79vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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14.19University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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11.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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3.73Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.15Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.2Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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15.21Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 24.5% | 25.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 20.8% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Matias Martin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 13.5% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 48.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.