← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.14+5.09vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.66+5.81vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.23+2.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.13+5.76vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.62+2.21vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50+1.50vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.58vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.05-5.24vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.57vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-0.26+3.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.64-4.01vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.56-4.61vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.37-4.98vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.11-2.01vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.81-5.03vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-0.82-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
-
5.89Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
9.76University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.21Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.5Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.76Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
11.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
14.01University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
-
8.39University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
9.02Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.99Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.24Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Dominik spinelli | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 19.8% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 23.7% | 26.7% |
| Braden Vogel | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Matias Martin | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 20.6% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.