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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+4.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+5.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.64+1.94vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.56-0.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05-5.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.37-3.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.11-0.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-5.69vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.48vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.38vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.82-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.72Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.92University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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3.65Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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15.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.62University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.85Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 21.0% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Matias Martin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 13.6% | 6.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 22.5% | 49.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 12.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.