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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+4.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+6.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+4.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05-0.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62+2.68vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23-0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.64-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.81+1.73vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.37-1.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.56-4.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.11-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-4.42vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.47vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.36vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.82-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.62Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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15.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.64University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.83Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 22.8% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Matias Martin | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 49.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 12.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 30.0% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.