← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University0.84+9.69vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.08vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.98+3.70vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.81vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.44+3.60vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.28vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.20+6.68vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.42-3.21vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.04vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.43-1.83vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University1.68-3.35vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.72+0.74vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.71-5.78vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.57-4.54vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.73-4.10vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.25vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University0.47-4.69vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia-0.34-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.69Princeton University0.843.1%1st Place
-
9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
-
6.7Fordham University1.989.3%1st Place
-
4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.9%1st Place
-
8.6George Washington University1.445.7%1st Place
-
7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.5%1st Place
-
13.68Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
-
4.79Georgetown University2.4214.7%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.0%1st Place
-
8.17Webb Institute1.435.3%1st Place
-
7.65Cornell University1.687.0%1st Place
-
12.74Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
-
7.22University of Pennsylvania1.717.6%1st Place
-
9.46Old Dominion University1.574.3%1st Place
-
10.9Christopher Newport University0.732.6%1st Place
-
12.75SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
-
12.31Drexel University0.472.1%1st Place
-
14.11University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 23.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% |
| Iain Shand | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.