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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.95vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48+2.44vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+0.83vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73+2.22vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.81+1.00vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.40+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.87+1.34vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-4.17vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-5.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.81-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.81-3.63vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.21-3.14vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-0.09-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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2.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.3%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.22Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.0Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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8.03Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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4.83Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.21Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rochester0.810.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rochester0.810.0%1st Place
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10.86Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.39Villanova University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 28.1% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Romanowsky | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Romanowsky | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Craig Williams | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.