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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+2.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+2.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+3.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.64+2.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.81+2.67vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.62-0.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.37-1.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.31vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.56-3.75vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-4.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.11-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.94vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.82-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.19Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.06University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.25Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 24.1% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Braden Vogel | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matias Martin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Dominik spinelli | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 23.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.