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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.64+5.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+3.23vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+4.55vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62+2.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-2.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.37+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.81+2.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.11+2.09vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.56-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.13-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.08vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.82+0.11vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-10.51vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.66-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan1.640.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.81Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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11.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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13.09Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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14.08University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.11Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Cole Schweda | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 22.1% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Silvers | 4.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 14.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 25.7% | 23.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 19.0% | 49.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.