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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+4.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.23+8.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.80+5.67vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.23-1.26vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.51-3.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.68-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.53-3.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.90vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-2.13+0.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.61-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.45-6.82vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.42-13.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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12.67University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.74Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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14.97Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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3.49Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 3.4% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 24.7% | 14.1% |
| William Hurd | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Homa | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 66.4% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 9.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 23.1% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.