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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+7.70vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.23+4.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.42+0.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.44vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.51-0.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.54+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.23+2.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-4.97vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-2.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-6.85vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.80-0.41vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.61-1.85vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.45-6.00vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-4.74vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-2.13-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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6.57Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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3.46Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.81Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.59University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| William Hurd | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 24.0% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 25.4% | 13.9% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 8.5% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.