← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Roger Williams University0.68+5.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island-0.56+8.61vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.42-0.64vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.69+0.18vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.74-1.04vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.85vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.23-2.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan0.11-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.51-5.44vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida0.45-3.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.23-2.22vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.29vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.74vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University-0.61-4.08vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-2.13-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.96Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
-
11.61University of Rhode Island-0.560.0%1st Place
-
3.36Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
-
5.18Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.96Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.3Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
-
9.71University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.56Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
-
8.75University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
-
10.78University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
-
12.26University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
-
11.92Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
14.89Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasar Akin | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 7.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 23.9% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Hank Seum | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 10.5% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 8.5% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.