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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.69+3.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.23+6.94vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.23+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45+2.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.51-1.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.42-4.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island-0.56+1.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.80-0.70vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.11-4.28vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.61-3.27vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-2.13-1.19vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.68-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.37Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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5.65Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.3Brown University2.420.3%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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12.3University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| William Hurd | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Hank Seum | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 26.0% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 11.9% |
| Ted Sherman | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Blanc | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 7.5% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 65.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.