Race 5B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cam Spriggs 25.1% 20.3% 16.6% 11.7% 9.2% 7.2% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Devon Owen 12.7% 13.6% 11.5% 11.3% 11.8% 9.0% 9.2% 7.5% 5.1% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 10.1% 8.9% 10.3% 11.3% 9.7% 10.8% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Wang 4.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.2% 10.9% 9.8% 9.6% 7.3% 7.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
William Hurd 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 9.8% 8.7% 11.0% 10.2% 10.1% 8.8% 8.4% 4.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Emaline Ouellette 3.7% 2.8% 3.6% 5.8% 7.9% 6.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.6% 11.3% 10.2% 7.0% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Kevin Gosselin 13.4% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 10.8% 9.5% 9.7% 7.8% 4.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gus Macaulay 11.5% 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 13.1% 10.6% 8.7% 6.7% 6.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Dreyfuss 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 7.3% 8.2% 12.3% 12.4% 11.2% 9.2% 7.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 6.8% 8.0% 13.1% 16.1% 16.8% 11.6% 4.4% 0.3%
Lucas Wiatrowski 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.9% 3.4% 5.4% 8.2% 11.7% 16.4% 26.4% 12.2% 1.2%
Greer Page 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.6% 9.4% 11.3% 14.3% 15.2% 14.3% 4.7% 0.3%
Yasar Akin 3.4% 4.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.5% 10.5% 10.1% 7.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Adrien Blanc 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 6.0% 6.5% 9.7% 12.4% 17.2% 20.5% 9.6% 0.8%
Victoria Sikorjak 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 3.6% 5.5% 12.7% 55.4% 14.0%
Wake Zani 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 11.0% 83.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.