Race 6B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cam Spriggs 24.7% 21.9% 16.8% 10.5% 9.2% 5.7% 5.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hurd 7.0% 9.3% 8.2% 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 10.1% 7.1% 10.1% 8.8% 5.3% 2.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Gus Macaulay 12.0% 10.1% 11.1% 13.6% 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 7.7% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Devon Owen 11.2% 12.6% 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 11.0% 9.1% 8.6% 6.1% 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 9.4% 8.8% 11.4% 9.8% 12.5% 9.5% 11.7% 7.3% 8.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Yasar Akin 3.9% 3.4% 4.8% 6.8% 7.2% 9.5% 5.7% 10.4% 9.4% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 6.1% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Wang 6.6% 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 11.1% 9.8% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Gosselin 13.3% 12.9% 13.3% 12.3% 11.7% 11.7% 7.2% 7.6% 3.8% 3.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Greer Page 1.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 5.1% 7.7% 8.3% 11.3% 15.9% 15.2% 12.9% 4.6% 0.2%
Emaline Ouellette 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 8.6% 11.4% 13.1% 12.1% 9.4% 6.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Adrien Blanc 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 3.6% 7.0% 10.4% 11.3% 18.7% 22.0% 8.5% 0.6%
Zach Earnshaw 1.7% 1.6% 2.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 8.9% 10.2% 14.1% 15.4% 14.3% 4.6% 0.2%
Marina Dreyfuss 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.8% 7.2% 8.7% 10.6% 11.0% 10.5% 10.0% 8.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Lucas Wiatrowski 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 2.4% 1.5% 1.9% 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 8.2% 13.3% 16.3% 22.7% 13.6% 1.4%
Victoria Sikorjak 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.8% 5.6% 13.3% 55.2% 14.0%
Wake Zani 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 11.2% 83.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.