Race 7B

nickerson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Gus Macaulay 11.5% 13.0% 11.7% 11.0% 11.0% 9.9% 7.4% 8.4% 6.2% 5.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Gosselin 12.8% 13.0% 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4% 5.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 10.6% 7.3% 12.2% 9.9% 9.5% 10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 8.1% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Cam Spriggs 23.8% 20.0% 14.2% 13.7% 10.0% 7.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Yasar Akin 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 4.6% 6.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 9.3% 11.1% 8.1% 6.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.0%
William Hurd 6.0% 6.3% 10.4% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 10.0% 8.9% 8.4% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Wang 6.0% 6.8% 5.2% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.7% 10.2% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Devon Owen 12.4% 13.2% 10.1% 12.9% 11.4% 9.4% 11.2% 5.7% 5.3% 4.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Dreyfuss 2.7% 4.3% 4.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.4% 8.1% 7.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.5% 10.7% 7.3% 6.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Lucas Wiatrowski 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.4% 1.3% 2.5% 1.9% 1.8% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 7.2% 13.8% 16.9% 23.8% 12.5%
Adrien Blanc 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 4.5% 4.4% 7.1% 9.8% 11.8% 18.3% 20.4% 7.3%
Emaline Ouellette 3.4% 3.5% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.7% 10.9% 9.5% 10.1% 8.5% 4.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Ted Sherman 2.1% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 4.3% 5.4% 4.8% 6.8% 6.0% 10.0% 12.5% 10.5% 11.4% 9.1% 7.6% 1.6%
Jordynn Johnson 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 6.1% 4.4% 7.5% 8.8% 11.3% 11.7% 15.4% 14.8% 5.2%
Victoria Sikorjak 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 3.8% 6.4% 11.7% 68.4%
Zach Earnshaw 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.5% 6.2% 7.5% 8.5% 11.1% 14.9% 13.8% 11.9% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.