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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+2.36vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+3.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+2.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-0.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.74-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.80+5.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.54+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.37+1.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.61+1.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.68-3.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98-5.62vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-7.44vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.11-5.11vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-2.13-1.09vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.74Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.56University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.1%1st Place
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6.56Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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14.91Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 24.8% | 21.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 13.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 7.5% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin VanManen | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 13.5% | 67.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.