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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+2.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+3.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.68+3.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.69-0.80vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.23-0.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-0.23vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.51-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.23-0.07vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.80-0.62vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.56-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.53-6.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.61-4.00vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-2.13-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.1%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.38University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.92Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 24.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 14.7% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin VanManen | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Hank Seum | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 12.1% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 7.1% |
| Jack Homa | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 7.3% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.