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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+2.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+3.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.68+5.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.35vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51+0.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.23+3.89vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.61+3.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-5.55vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23-4.45vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.56-2.18vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.45-6.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-7.24vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-2.13-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University2.420.3%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.69Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.2%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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12.28University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Rhode Island-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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14.92Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 25.4% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gus Macaulay | 8.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin VanManen | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Adrien Blanc | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 7.5% |
| Andy Yu | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 11.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 6.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Homa | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.