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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.16vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.14+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-1.91vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.16Stanford University3.390.9%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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2.66University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 85.4% | 12.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 26.3% | 19.1% | 4.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.8% | 44.6% | 28.9% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 41.1% | 14.7% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.5% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 13.6% | 26.0% | 23.6% | 20.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.