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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.18vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.65vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.18Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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2.65University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 84.4% | 13.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.4% | 45.7% | 26.2% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 13.4% | 23.5% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.7% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.3% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 23.2% | 13.1% | 3.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 40.9% | 14.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.