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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.41+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.10vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.17Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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2.66University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 84.5% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.4% | 45.1% | 26.7% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.4% | 8.7% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 18.6% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.1% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 23.8% | 24.5% | 14.7% | 2.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 24.5% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 40.7% | 14.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 12.7% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.