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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.14-0.74vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.17Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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2.67University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 84.8% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.4% | 43.3% | 29.3% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.2% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 25.0% | 24.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.7% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 26.2% | 20.8% | 4.8% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.5% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 40.6% | 14.8% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.