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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.16vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.05vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.16Stanford University3.390.9%1st Place
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2.67University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 85.1% | 13.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.4% | 43.9% | 28.3% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.2% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 24.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.2% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 12.5% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 40.3% | 15.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.5% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 23.5% | 21.2% | 4.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.