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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+9.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+2.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+4.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.68+2.68vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.43+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.71+0.14vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+0.89vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57+0.34vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72+2.71vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-4.32vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-1.51vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.29-0.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.83vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.57-10.08vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.47-3.65vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.89Christopher Newport University0.733.6%1st Place
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4.95Georgetown University2.4214.8%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.4%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.6%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University1.686.0%1st Place
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8.03Webb Institute1.435.9%1st Place
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7.14University of Pennsylvania1.717.3%1st Place
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8.89George Washington University1.445.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University1.575.0%1st Place
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12.71Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University1.989.1%1st Place
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10.49Princeton University0.843.4%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College0.292.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.5%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.7%1st Place
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12.35Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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13.76Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Virginia-0.341.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 25.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.