Race 6A

cornell-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 12.4% 12.4% 14.3% 11.7% 13.1% 10.4% 9.2% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 10.7% 11.7% 12.6% 12.6% 12.1% 10.5% 9.7% 7.4% 5.5% 4.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 9.9% 12.1% 12.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.3% 12.4% 9.1% 5.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 11.5% 10.7% 10.5% 9.1% 8.4% 6.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 5.5% 4.1% 4.0% 7.9% 7.6% 6.5% 9.5% 9.8% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 7.8% 2.7% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 4.3% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 9.5% 11.5% 12.0% 9.5% 10.6% 7.7% 1.9% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 9.2% 10.0% 11.9% 9.6% 10.6% 7.7% 5.0% 2.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 28.3% 20.9% 15.7% 14.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 6.5% 6.0% 9.0% 10.9% 13.6% 15.4% 12.7% 7.5% 0.0%
Andrew Green 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 3.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 10.2% 16.8% 19.5% 18.5% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 5.5% 4.7% 5.4% 8.6% 12.7% 14.1% 21.2% 17.3% 0.0%
Andrew Sayre 3.9% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 9.2% 7.9% 10.4% 11.5% 13.7% 9.7% 8.0% 3.2% 0.0%
Jarrett Scherrer 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 6.3% 11.0% 18.2% 47.4% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 5.5% 4.7% 5.4% 8.6% 12.7% 14.1% 21.2% 17.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.