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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.47vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.67vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida0.67+4.76vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+2.85vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18+5.56vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17-2.41vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.53+4.16vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43+3.26vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27-3.12vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.37-1.18vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.25-4.96vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-2.68vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.51-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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2.67College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.96North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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7.85Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.56Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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12.16Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.82Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.04Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.32The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.55Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.38University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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16.48University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 21.3% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.4% | 26.1% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 2.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 2.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 27.3% | 6.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 3.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.