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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.59vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+2.47vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66-0.44vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.25+1.93vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79+2.60vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.97+0.94vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.53+4.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.27-1.90vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida0.67-2.12vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.51-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-1.75vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-2.97+0.47vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.18-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.96North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.93Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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8.6Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.94Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.14Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.24The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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9.78Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.43University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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11.5Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 34.1% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 2.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 2.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 2.5% |
| Marco Distel | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 26.6% | 7.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 8.8% | 82.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.