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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.46vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+4.85vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+5.70vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10-2.32vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.270.00vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida0.67+0.69vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-0.46vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.25-2.99vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.53+1.45vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.88+1.29vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18-1.53vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.20-3.65vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.51-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.85Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.7Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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2.68College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.66Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.01Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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12.45Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.47Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.35The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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12.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.37University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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16.49University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 32.7% | 24.2% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 3.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 27.2% | 6.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 2.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.