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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.44vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+4.85vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+1.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10-2.33vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+3.89vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.270.00vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida0.67+0.73vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25-1.82vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.26vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43+1.12vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-0.59vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.79-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-0.88-0.68vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.51-2.71vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.56vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.85Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.67College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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9.89Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.0University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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7.18Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.26The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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12.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.41Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.51Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.29University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.44Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.9% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 31.2% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 26.9% | 6.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 3.8% |
| Emma Pope | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.