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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+3.93vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+2.54vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+4.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66-1.57vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79+2.56vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+2.72vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25-1.08vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20+1.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27-3.04vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18+0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida0.67-3.22vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.88+0.25vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.51-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-2.94vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.57vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.89Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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2.75College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.43University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.56Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.72Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.92Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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10.39The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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11.49Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.43University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.43Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.49University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 31.0% | 22.4% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.3% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Smith | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marco Distel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 7.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 2.6% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 3.3% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.