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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.43vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+2.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10-0.30vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+0.65vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.25+1.96vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida0.67+0.68vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+0.86vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+1.38vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.97-3.04vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.53+0.35vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.60-0.43vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.20-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-1.82vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.89North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.7College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.65Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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8.61Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.71University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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9.86Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.38Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.96Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.35Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.57University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.41The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.49University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 21.5% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 29.8% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 3.6% |
| May Proctor | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 5.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Marco Distel | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 27.9% | 6.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 2.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.