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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+1.58vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+0.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.25+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+0.84vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+2.74vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79+0.34vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.97-1.02vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida0.67-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.88+1.24vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.60-1.37vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-2.99vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.20-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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2.7College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.58Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.98North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.97Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.74Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.34Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.98Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.36Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.45Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.63University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.31The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 20.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.8% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 26.3% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 4.6% |
| May Proctor | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 3.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.