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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+3.52vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+0.51vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+3.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+1.57vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01-0.94vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+3.26vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.88+5.03vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60+3.71vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-0.27vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79-2.46vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida0.67-4.09vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-1.78vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.25-7.92vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.66College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.51University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.91Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.57University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.26The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.71University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.73Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.44Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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12.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.08Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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12.38Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.48University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 31.7% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.1% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 25.4% | 5.5% |
| May Proctor | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 3.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 1.7% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 4.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.