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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.44vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+7.43vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.25+2.92vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10-2.33vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-0.41vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.97-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida0.67-0.21vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+1.19vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79-2.68vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.51+0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.88+0.11vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-1.96vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.86vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.68-3.30vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.43Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.91North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.92Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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2.67College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.66Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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11.19Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.32Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.08University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.14Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.7The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 19.8% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 33.3% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 6.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 2.3% |
| Henry Parker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 4.7% |
| Emma Pope | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.