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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+8.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.71+4.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.86vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+1.92vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+6.45vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.43+1.21vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.78vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.29+3.80vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84+0.66vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.47+1.20vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.34+1.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.91vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-1.07vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.57-6.60vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.44-8.49vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.68-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University2.4216.5%1st Place
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7.23University of Pennsylvania1.717.8%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.5%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University1.988.9%1st Place
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12.45Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
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8.21Webb Institute1.434.6%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.2%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College0.291.8%1st Place
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10.66Princeton University0.843.5%1st Place
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12.2Drexel University0.472.2%1st Place
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10.91Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
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14.08University of Virginia-0.341.6%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.1%1st Place
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13.93Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University1.445.6%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University1.685.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Iain Shand | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 25.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 25.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.