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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.44vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+2.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+2.68vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-0.60vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.53+6.29vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.25-0.05vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18+3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida0.67-0.23vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.51+1.17vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-2.44vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.97-5.14vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.68-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-3.12vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-0.88-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.97-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.68College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.4Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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12.29Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.05Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.22Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.56Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.86Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.68The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 20.7% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.0% | 24.5% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Smith | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 3.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 3.6% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
| Marco Distel | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 6.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.