← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.89+3.13vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.46+3.23vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.35+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.65+0.86vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.48+3.26vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.34+2.77vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.26+1.96vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami1.24-2.22vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina0.00+0.64vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.30-1.17vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.06vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University0.60-4.18vs Predicted
-
13Duke University-0.84-0.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida-1.10-1.25vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.18-4.60vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.13University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
-
5.23North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
3.18College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
-
4.86Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.26Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.77The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.96Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.78University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
-
8.83Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
-
10.94Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
7.82Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
-
12.18Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.75University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.4University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
-
14.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 25.2% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
| Brady Parks | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.2% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.